Some Good News For Homebuyers: Slower Price Growth, More Supply and More Bargaining Power

Written by Posted On Thursday, 20 February 2025 06:29

The median monthly housing payment remains near record highs, but slowing price growth, declining mortgage rates and a pileup of supply is giving homebuyers in certain parts of the country room to negotiate

The median U.S. home-sale price rose 3.7% year over year during the four weeks ending February 16, the smallest increase since September. That’s according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. Additionally, the weekly average mortgage rate dipped to 6.87%, its lowest level of the year.

While typical monthly housing costs remain near record highs, decelerating price growth and gradually declining rates are among several small pieces of good news for house hunters this week. Here are the others:

  • Homebuyers have more total inventory to choose from. There are five months of supply on the market, up from 4.1 months a year earlier and the most since early 2019 (except the 4 weeks ending January 26, when there were 5.1 months). Supply is piling up because listings are rising while pending home sales are falling.
  • Buyers have more new inventory to choose from, too. New listings are up 4.2% year over year to their highest level for any comparable time period in three years.
  • Buyers have more negotiating power. The typical home is selling for 2% less than its asking price, the biggest discount in two years. Additionally, the typical home that sells is taking 57 days to go under contract, the longest span in five years. A slow market in which the typical home is selling under list price means buyers in many markets have the opportunity to negotiate on prices and terms.

Some markets are more buyer friendly than others. For example, the coastal Florida market is tilting in buyers’ favor, while sellers are generally in the driver’s seat in some West Coast and Northeast markets. Additionally, these conditions may be short-lived as more buyers come off the sidelines. Home-touring activity is rising, according to both ShowingTime data and Google data, and Redfin agents in certain areas report that house hunters are gearing up for spring homebuying season.

“If a home needs work or it’s priced too high, it’s sitting on the market,” said Cody Brownfield, a Redfin Premier agent in Cincinnati. “That’s when a buyer has bargaining power. But updated homes that are priced right—especially those located in desirable neighborhoods with highly rated schools—are selling quickly, sometimes for tens of thousands of dollars over the asking price. It seems like every buyer is looking for the same type of house.”

Pending sales, listings are up in Los Angeles in aftermath of wildfires

In Los Angeles, pending home sales rose 7.4% from a year earlier during the four weeks ending February 16, making it one of just seven major metros where sales are increasing. New listings in Los Angeles rose 21.9%, the third-biggest increase in the U.S.

The uptick in housing market activity among both homebuyers and sellers likely stems from January’s Palisades and Eaton wildfires, which destroyed thousands of homes in Los Angeles. Some affluent buyers who lost their homes are now buying new ones, and some homeowners are selling to meet the demand. Additionally, some buyers throughout Los Angeles pressed pause on their house hunt in January, when many parts of life were overshadowed by the devastating fires, and are picking it back up now.

For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin’s “From Our Economists” page.

Leading indicators

Indicators of homebuying demand and activity

 

Value (if applicable)

Recent change

Year-over-year change

Source

Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate

7.03% (Feb. 19)

Down from 7.13% a week earlier

Down from 7.16%

Mortgage News Daily

Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate

6.87% (week ending Feb. 13)

Down from 7.04% a month earlier

Up from 6.77%

Freddie Mac

Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted)

 

Down 6% from a week earlier (as of week ending Feb. 14)

Up 7%

Mortgage Bankers Association

Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index (seasonally adjusted)

 

Near 6-month low

(as of week ending Feb. 16)

Down 1%

 

 

Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index, a measure of tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents

Touring activity

 

Up 13% from the start of the year (as of Feb. 18)

At this time last year, it was up 14% from the start of 2024

ShowingTime, a home touring technology company

Google searches for “home for sale”

 

Up 15% from a month earlier (as of Feb. 18)

Up 8%

 

Google Trends

Key housing-market data

U.S. highlights: Four weeks ending Feb. 16, 2025

Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ U.S. metro areas, and are based on homes listed and/or sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back through 2015. Subject to revision.

 

Four weeks ending Feb. 16, 2025

Year-over-year change

Notes

Median sale price

$375,475

3.7%

Smallest increase in nearly 5 months

Median asking price

$409,725

5.3%

 

Median monthly mortgage payment

$2,750 at a 6.87% mortgage rate

5.1%

$32 shy of all-time high

Pending sales

71,454

-6.8%

 

New listings

79,969

4.2%

 

Active listings

912,471

11.3%

Smallest increase in nearly a year

Months of supply

5

+0.9 pts. to second-longest span since early 2019 (there were 5.1 months during the 4 weeks ending Jan. 26)

4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions

Share of homes off market in two weeks

32.3%

Down from 35%

 

Median days on market

57

+7 days to longest span since March 2020

 

Share of homes sold above list price

21.2%

Down from 23%

 

Average sale-to-list price ratio

98%

Down from 98.2%

 

Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending Feb. 16, 2025

Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time to time to ensure data accuracy.

 

Metros with biggest year-over-year increases

Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases

Notes

Median sale price

Pittsburgh (15%)

Milwaukee (14%)

San Jose, CA (13.6%)

Nassau County, NY (12.5%)

Cincinnati, OH (10.8%)

Austin, TX (-5.3%)

Tampa, FL (-1.2%)

Jacksonville, FL (-0.6%)

Dallas (-0.4%)

Atlanta (-0.3%)

Declined in 7 metros

Pending sales

San Francisco (17.7%)

Anaheim, CA (8.5%)

Los Angeles (7.4%)

Milwaukee (3.8%)

Columbus, OH (3.4%)

Miami (-22.6%)

Houston (-20.6%)

Jacksonville, FL (-18.9%)

San Antonio (-17.9%)

Atlanta (-16.8%)

Increased in 7 metros

New listings

San Jose, CA (27.4%)

Phoenix (23.7%)

Los Angeles (21.9%)

Denver (17.4%)

Sacramento, CA (15.4%)

Detroit (-21.2%)

Warren, MI (-10.9%)

Newark, NJ (-8.5%)

Jacksonville, FL (-7.2%)

San Antonio (-7.2%)

 

Declined in 18 metros

 

To view the full report, including charts, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-good-news-for-homebuyers-2025

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Redfin

Redfin is a technology-driven real estate company with the country's most-visited real estate brokerage website. As part of Rocket Companies (NYSE: RKT), Redfin is creating an integrated homeownership platform from search to close to make the dream of homeownership more affordable and accessible for everyone. Redfin’s clients can see homes first with on-demand tours, easily apply for a home loan with Rocket Mortgage, and save thousands in fees while working with a top local agent. You can find more information about Redfin and get the latest housing market data and research at Redfin.com/news. For more information about Rocket Companies, visit RocketCompanies.com.

https://www.redfin.com

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